Jimmy Kimmel Live!: Episode, Dec 26, 2025
Kalshi What will Jimmy Kimmel say during his alternative Christmas message?
Markets
8 words · 0 settled yes- Kalshi: the host Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trump | No | 60%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| FCC | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Charlie / Kirk | No | 42%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Free Speech / Freedom of Speech | No | 42%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Crown / Castle | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Hanukkah | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Royal | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Social Media | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
History only. We have no transcript source for this category; the results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXKIMMELMENTION-25DEC26 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP