Will James Corden say “Messi”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, James Corden said “Messi” at 9 of 16 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jun 12, 2026 (56%), most recently on Jul 7, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 51% (n=16, from settlement history), not a forecast.
51%from settlement history only · n=16counts: named speaker only
- Last 10
- 6/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes no no yes no yes no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Updated
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearanceJames Corden
Messi
- Probability
- 51% · n=16
- Settled
- 9/16 (56%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have transcripts for James Corden yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 16 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 7, 2026 | Messi | Yes | |
| Jul 6, 2026 | Messi | No | |
| Jul 3, 2026 | Messi | Yes | |
| Jul 2, 2026 | Messi | No | |
| Jul 1, 2026 | Messi | Yes | |
| Jun 30, 2026 | Messi | No | |
| Jun 29, 2026 | Messi | No | |
| Jun 26, 2026 | Messi | Yes | |
| Jun 25, 2026 | Messi | Yes | |
| Jun 23, 2026 | Messi | Yes | |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Messi | No | |
| Jun 19, 2026 | Messi | Yes | |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Messi | No | |
| Jun 16, 2026 | Messi | Yes | |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Messi | No | |
| Jun 12, 2026 | Messi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does James Corden say “Messi”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, James Corden said “Messi” at 9 of 16 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jun 12, 2026 (56%), most recently on Jul 7, 2026.
- What is the probability James Corden says “Messi” next time?
- 51%, from settlement history (n=16). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “James Corden: ‘Messi’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/entertainment/james-corden/words/messi (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=james-corden&word=messi · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=james-corden&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP