James Corden: Episode, Jun 30, 2026

Tue, Jun 30EpisodeHistory onlyJames Corden

Updated

Markets

14 words · 3 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
England Yes77%n=10 from settlement history–
Soccer Yes–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Record Yes33%n=7 from settlement history–
Haaland No72%n=4 from settlement history–
Messi No55%n=10 from settlement history–
Neymar No–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Ronaldo No47%n=10 from settlement history–
Beckham No47%n=10 from settlement history–
Red Card No40%n=10 from settlement history–
Mbappe No32%n=7 from settlement history–
Offside / Offsides No–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Trump No16%n=5 from settlement history–
Golden Boot No11%n=8 from settlement history–
AI / Artificial Intelligence No9%n=10 from settlement history–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

History only. We have no transcript source for this category; the results above are how the venues settled the markets.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXLATENIGHTMENTION-26JUN30 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP