James Corden: Episode, Jul 1, 2026

Wed, Jul 1EpisodeHistory onlyJames Corden

Updated

Markets

17 words · 10 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
England Yes79%n=11 from settlement history–
Haaland Yes63%n=5 from settlement history–
Soccer Yes61%n=2 from settlement history–
Olise Yes–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Messi Yes50%n=11 from settlement history–
Ronaldo Yes44%n=11 from settlement history–
Equalize / Equalizer / Equalized Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Row / Rowing Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Record Yes38%n=8 from settlement history–
Mbappe Yes29%n=8 from settlement history–
Beckham No43%n=11 from settlement history–
Neymar No43%n=2 from settlement history–
Red Card No37%n=11 from settlement history–
Offside / Offsides No24%n=2 from settlement history–
Trump No13%n=6 from settlement history–
Golden Boot No10%n=9 from settlement history–
AI / Artificial Intelligence No8%n=11 from settlement history–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

History only. We have no transcript source for this category; the results above are how the venues settled the markets.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXLATENIGHTMENTION-26JUL01 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP