James Corden: Episode, Jun 25, 2026

Thu, Jun 25EpisodeHistory onlyJames Corden

Updated

Markets

14 words · 5 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
England Yes71%n=7 from settlement history–
Haaland Yes–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Messi Yes52%n=7 from settlement history–
Red Card Yes42%n=7 from settlement history–
Mbappe Yes32%n=4 from settlement history–
Ronaldo No52%n=7 from settlement history–
Beckham No52%n=7 from settlement history–
Miami No–new new word, no probability yet–
Tiebreak / Tiebreaker No–new new word, no probability yet–
Record No33%n=4 from settlement history–
Trump No27%n=2 from settlement history–
New York No19%n=4 from settlement history–
Golden Boot No16%n=5 from settlement history–
AI / Artificial Intelligence No13%n=7 from settlement history–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

History only. We have no transcript source for this category; the results above are how the venues settled the markets.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXLATENIGHTMENTION-26JUN25 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP