James Corden: Episode, Jul 8, 2026

Wed, Jul 8EpisodeHistory onlyJames Corden

Updated

Markets

14 words · 6 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
England Yes85%n=16 from settlement history–
Red Card Yes48%n=16 from settlement history–
Belgium Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
VAR Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Offside / Offsides Yes23%n=7 from settlement history–
Trump Yes16%n=11 from settlement history–
Ronaldo No53%n=16 from settlement history–
Gianni / Infantino No–new new word, no probability yet–
GOAT No–new new word, no probability yet–
Pyramid No–new new word, no probability yet–
Beckham No32%n=16 from settlement history–
Mbappe No26%n=13 from settlement history–
Golden Boot No6%n=14 from settlement history–
AI / Artificial Intelligence No6%n=16 from settlement history–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

History only. We have no transcript source for this category; the results above are how the venues settled the markets.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXLATENIGHTMENTION-26JUL08 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP