James Corden: Episode, Jul 19, 2026

Sun, Jul 19EpisodeHistory onlyJames Corden

Updated

Markets

13 words · 2 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
Bieber Yes24%n=2 from settlement history–
Trump Yes17%n=16 from settlement history–
Red Card No54%n=21 from settlement history–
Harry / Kane No51%n=3 from settlement history–
Hand of God No–new new word, no probability yet–
Maradona / Pele No–new new word, no probability yet–
Beckham No29%n=18 from settlement history–
Barcelona No20%n=3 from settlement history–
Gianni / Infantino No15%n=5 from settlement history–
GOAT No15%n=5 from settlement history–
Shakira No13%n=6 from settlement history–
Golden Boot No4%n=19 from settlement history–
AI / Artificial Intelligence No4%n=21 from settlement history–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

History only. We have no transcript source for this category; the results above are how the venues settled the markets.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXLATENIGHTMENTION-26JUL19 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP