James Corden: Episode, Jul 6, 2026

Mon, Jul 6EpisodeHistory onlyJames Corden

Updated

Markets

14 words · 6 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
England Yes83%n=14 from settlement history–
Haaland Yes55%n=8 from settlement history–
Ronaldo Yes48%n=14 from settlement history–
Red Card Yes42%n=14 from settlement history–
Neymar Yes28%n=5 from settlement history–
Trump Yes10%n=9 from settlement history–
Messi No53%n=14 from settlement history–
Row / Rowing No52%n=3 from settlement history–
Record No37%n=11 from settlement history–
Beckham No36%n=14 from settlement history–
Mbappe No30%n=11 from settlement history–
Offside / Offsides No28%n=5 from settlement history–
Golden Boot No7%n=12 from settlement history–
AI / Artificial Intelligence No6%n=14 from settlement history–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

History only. We have no transcript source for this category; the results above are how the venues settled the markets.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXLATENIGHTMENTION-26JUL06 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP