James Corden: Episode, Jul 7, 2026

Tue, Jul 7EpisodeHistory onlyJames Corden

Updated

Markets

14 words · 6 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
England Yes84%n=15 from settlement history–
Haaland Yes59%n=9 from settlement history–
Ronaldo Yes50%n=15 from settlement history–
Messi Yes50%n=15 from settlement history–
Red Card Yes45%n=15 from settlement history–
Record Yes35%n=12 from settlement history–
Row / Rowing No45%n=4 from settlement history–
Neymar No36%n=6 from settlement history–
Beckham No34%n=15 from settlement history–
Mbappe No28%n=12 from settlement history–
Offside / Offsides No25%n=6 from settlement history–
Trump No18%n=10 from settlement history–
Golden Boot No7%n=13 from settlement history–
AI / Artificial Intelligence No6%n=15 from settlement history–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

History only. We have no transcript source for this category; the results above are how the venues settled the markets.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXLATENIGHTMENTION-26JUL07 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP