James Corden: Episode, Jul 2, 2026

Thu, Jul 2EpisodeHistory onlyJames Corden

Updated

Markets

17 words · 5 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
England Yes81%n=12 from settlement history–
Soccer Yes68%n=3 from settlement history–
Ronaldo Yes48%n=12 from settlement history–
Knight / Knighted / Knighthood Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Red Card Yes35%n=12 from settlement history–
Haaland No67%n=6 from settlement history–
Messi No54%n=12 from settlement history–
Equalize / Equalizer / Equalized No–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Row / Rowing No–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Record No44%n=9 from settlement history–
Beckham No41%n=12 from settlement history–
Neymar No37%n=3 from settlement history–
Mbappe No35%n=9 from settlement history–
Offside / Offsides No21%n=3 from settlement history–
Trump No12%n=7 from settlement history–
Golden Boot No9%n=10 from settlement history–
AI / Artificial Intelligence No8%n=12 from settlement history–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

History only. We have no transcript source for this category; the results above are how the venues settled the markets.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXLATENIGHTMENTION-26JUL02 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP