James Corden: Episode, Jun 23, 2026

Tue, Jun 23EpisodeHistory onlyJames Corden

Updated

Markets

11 words · 6 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
England Yes67%n=6 from settlement history–
Ronaldo Yes46%n=6 from settlement history–
Messi Yes46%n=6 from settlement history–
Beckham Yes46%n=6 from settlement history–
Haaland Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Record Yes21%n=3 from settlement history–
Red Card No46%n=6 from settlement history–
Mbappe No37%n=3 from settlement history–
New York No21%n=3 from settlement history–
Golden Boot No18%n=4 from settlement history–
AI / Artificial Intelligence No14%n=6 from settlement history–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

History only. We have no transcript source for this category; the results above are how the venues settled the markets.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXLATENIGHTMENTION-26JUN23 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP