James Corden: Episode, Jul 15, 2026

Wed, Jul 15EpisodeHistory onlyJames Corden

Updated

Markets

14 words · 3 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
England Yes88%n=20 from settlement history–
Harry / Kane Yes42%n=2 from settlement history–
Mbappe Yes31%n=17 from settlement history–
VAR No58%n=4 from settlement history–
Red Card No57%n=20 from settlement history–
Manchester No–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Viking No–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Barcelona No24%n=2 from settlement history–
Trump No18%n=15 from settlement history–
GOAT No17%n=4 from settlement history–
Gianni / Infantino No17%n=4 from settlement history–
Shakira No15%n=5 from settlement history–
Golden Boot No5%n=18 from settlement history–
AI / Artificial Intelligence No4%n=20 from settlement history–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

History only. We have no transcript source for this category; the results above are how the venues settled the markets.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXLATENIGHTMENTION-26JUL15 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP