James Corden: Episode, Jun 26, 2026

Fri, Jun 26EpisodeHistory onlyJames Corden

Updated

Markets

14 words · 4 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
England Yes73%n=8 from settlement history–
Haaland Yes62%n=2 from settlement history–
Messi Yes56%n=8 from settlement history–
Ronaldo Yes47%n=8 from settlement history–
Red Card No47%n=8 from settlement history–
Beckham No47%n=8 from settlement history–
Eliminate / Eliminated / Elimination No–new new word, no probability yet–
Mbappe No40%n=5 from settlement history–
Miami No–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Tiebreak / Tiebreaker No–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Record No29%n=5 from settlement history–
Trump No22%n=3 from settlement history–
Golden Boot No14%n=6 from settlement history–
AI / Artificial Intelligence No11%n=8 from settlement history–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

History only. We have no transcript source for this category; the results above are how the venues settled the markets.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXLATENIGHTMENTION-26JUN26 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP