James Corden: Episode, Jul 10, 2026

Fri, Jul 10EpisodeHistory onlyJames Corden

Updated

Markets

14 words · 5 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
England Yes86%n=17 from settlement history–
VAR Yes–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Red Card Yes51%n=17 from settlement history–
Harry / Kane Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Mbappe Yes25%n=14 from settlement history–
Ronaldo No50%n=17 from settlement history–
Barcelona No–new new word, no probability yet–
Bieber No–new new word, no probability yet–
Gianni / Infantino No–n=1 too little history for a probability–
GOAT No–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Shakira No26%n=2 from settlement history–
Trump No22%n=12 from settlement history–
Golden Boot No6%n=15 from settlement history–
AI / Artificial Intelligence No5%n=17 from settlement history–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

History only. We have no transcript source for this category; the results above are how the venues settled the markets.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXLATENIGHTMENTION-26JUL10 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP