James Corden: Episode, Jul 12, 2026

Sun, Jul 12EpisodeHistory onlyJames Corden

Updated

Markets

14 words · 3 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
England Yes87%n=19 from settlement history–
Red Card Yes55%n=19 from settlement history–
VAR Yes52%n=3 from settlement history–
Harry / Kane No–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Manchester No–new new word, no probability yet–
Viking No–new new word, no probability yet–
Mbappe No33%n=16 from settlement history–
Barcelona No–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Gianni / Infantino No20%n=3 from settlement history–
GOAT No20%n=3 from settlement history–
Trump No19%n=14 from settlement history–
Shakira No18%n=4 from settlement history–
Golden Boot No5%n=17 from settlement history–
AI / Artificial Intelligence No4%n=19 from settlement history–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

History only. We have no transcript source for this category; the results above are how the venues settled the markets.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXLATENIGHTMENTION-26JUL12 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP