# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · window_week by 2026-05-03 (settled) · 21 words · P p:what-will-trump-say-this-week-may-3 · as_of 2026-10-25T21:03:12Z
# scope P named · n/y settled before 2026-05-03 · tn/th last 1 transcripts of any kind 2026-01-20 · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v P · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-this-week-may-3 (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between April 27, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and May 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
# coverage no known appearances yet (as of 2026-10-20T23:46:29Z) · agree blank = not graded; lower_bound 1 = cnt is a floor (a window not fully read), never a NO
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	p_src	cnt	cnt_all	res	lower_bound
Make America Great Again	make america great again	10	7	0.7	nnnYYYYYYY	1	1	0.77	hist	0	0	yes	1
Transgender	transgender	107	60	0.56	nYYYnnnnnY	1	1	0.68	hist	0	0	yes	1
Drill baby drill	drill baby drill	66	42	0.64	YYYnYYYYYY	1	0	0.62	hist	0	0	yes	1
TrumpRX	trumprx	5	3	0.6	YnnYY	1	0	0.57	hist	0	0	yes	1
Justice	justice	3	3	1	YYY	1	1	0.51	hist	0	0	yes	1
Radical Left	radical left	66	30	0.45	YYnnYnYYnn	1	1	0.51	hist	0	0	yes	1
Golf / Golfer	golf|golfer	9	4	0.44	nYYnYnnYn	1	1	0.51	hist	0	0	yes	1
Lunatic	lunatic	4	2	0.5	YYnn	1	0	0.5	hist	0	0	yes	1
Scotland	scotland	1	0	0	n	1	0	0.49	hist	0	0	yes	1
Alaska	alaska	5	2	0.4	YnnYn	1	0	0.47	hist	0	0	yes	1
Paper tiger	paper tiger	5	1	0.2	nnYnn	1	0	0.47	hist	0	0	yes	1
Marble / Granite	granite|marble	0	0			1	0	0.46	hist	0	0	yes	1
My Father / My Mother	my father|my mother	0	0			1	1	0.45	hist	0	0	yes	1
Peace in the Middle East	peace in the middle east	21	8	0.38	nYnnnnnnnn	1	0	0.41	hist	0	0	no	1
Ceasefire	ceasefire	43	11	0.26	nYnnnnYYnn	1	0	0.41	hist	0	0	yes	1
Failing New York Times	failing new york time	0	0			1	0	0.5	prior	0	0	no	1
Harry	harry	0	0			1	0	0.5	prior	0	0	no	1
Jerome Too Late	jerome too late	0	0			1	0	0.5	prior	0	0	yes	1
Language	language	0	0			1	1	0.5	prior	0	0	yes	1
Peacemaker	peacemaker	0	0			1	0	0.5	prior	0	0	no	1
Pouring Into Our Country	pouring into our country	0	0			1	0	0.5	prior	0	0	yes	1