Will Donald Trump say “Justice”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Justice” at 4 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Mar 13, 2025 (80%), most recently on Apr 28, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 47% (n=5, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches; Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 5. 1 later appearance without a transcript yet (Oct 24, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 4/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Justice
- Probability
- 47% · n=5
- Settled
- 4/5 (80%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 5 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…out. He's a He's a great guy. We captured and brought to justice the outlaw dictator of Venezuela, Nicholas Maduro, who is now awaiting trial.…
…we're going to go up. I think we're captured and brought to justice the outlaw dictator of Venezuela, Nicholas Maduro, who is now awaiting. And…
…administration is here to support you and will bring the perpetrators to justice. We will do it quickly, as quickly as anybody can believe. And…
…number one anywhere in the world. And we captured and brought to justice the outlaw dictator of Venezuela, Nicholas Maduro, who's now awaiting trial for…
…will be very careful. And that's why we have a Department of Justice that we've already used it having to do with this very subject…
Every settled listing
newest first · 5 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Justice |  Polymarket | No | – (settled no · not found in what we could read (6 of 8 known appearances transcribed)) |
| May 3, 2026 | Justice | Polymarket | Yes | – (settled yes · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet)) |
| Mar 28, 2025 | Justice |  Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Mar 14, 2025 | Justice | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Mar 13, 2025 | Justice | Kalshi | Yes | – |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Justice”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Justice” at 4 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Mar 13, 2025 (80%), most recently on Apr 28, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Justice” next time?
- 47%, from settlement history (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Justice’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/justice (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=justice · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP