Will Donald Trump say “Discombobulator / Discombobulated”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Discombobulator / Discombobulated” at 1 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Apr 30, 2026 (33%), most recently on Apr 30, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 33% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 1/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Discombobulator / Discombobulated
- Probability
- 33% · n=3
- Settled
- 1/3 (33%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2026 | Discombobulator / Discombobulated |  Polymarket | No | – |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Discombobulator / Discombobulated |  Kalshi | No | – |
| May 31, 2026 | Discombobulator / Discombobulated | Polymarket | No | – (settled no · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet)) |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Discombobulator / Discombobulated | Polymarket | Yes | – (settled yes · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet)) |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Discombobulator / Discombobulated”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Discombobulator / Discombobulated” at 1 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Apr 30, 2026 (33%), most recently on Apr 30, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Discombobulator / Discombobulated” next time?
- 33%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Discombobulator / Discombobulated’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/discombobulated-or-discombobulator (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=discombobulated%20%2F%20discombobulator · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP