# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · window_month by 2026-04-30 (settled) · 41 words · P p:what-will-trump-say-in-april · as_of 2026-10-26T17:50:42Z
# scope P named · n/y settled before 2026-04-30 · tn/th last 1 transcripts of any kind 2026-01-20 · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v P · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-in-april (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between April 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
# coverage no known appearances yet (as of 2026-10-20T23:46:29Z) · agree blank = not graded; lower_bound 1 = cnt is a floor (a window not fully read), never a NO
# rows 1-34 of 41 by p · more: offset=34 (limit=0 lists all)
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	p_src	cnt	cnt_all	res	lower_bound
Gay	gay	7	1	0.14	nYnnnnn	1	0	0.6	hist	0	0	yes	1
Mar-a-Lago	mar a lago	3	3	1	YYY	1	0	0.58	hist	0	0	yes	1
Braggadocious	braggadocious	1	1	1	Y	1	0	0.56	hist	0	0	no	1
Crooked	crooked	2	1	0.5	Yn	1	1	0.55	hist	0	0	yes	1
Gulf of Trump	gulf of trump	0	0			1	1	0.55	hist	0	0	yes	1
Gulf of America	gulf of america	17	10	0.59	nnnnnYYYYn	1	1	0.53	hist	0	0	yes	1
Our great First Lady	our great first lady	0	0			1	0	0.53	hist	0	0	yes	1
Maduro	maduro	55	23	0.42	YnYYYnYYYn	1	1	0.52	hist	0	0	yes	1
Paper Clip	paper clip	1	0	0	n	1	0	0.51	hist	0	0	no	1
Sovereign / Sovereignty	sovereign|sovereignty	0	0			1	0	0.51	hist	0	0	yes	1
Jesus	jesus	11	4	0.36	nYnYnnYnYn	1	0	0.5	hist	0	0	yes	1
Big League	big league	1	0	0	n	1	0	0.5	hist	0	0	no	1
Kim Jong Un	kim jong un	5	1	0.2	nYnnn	1	0	0.47	hist	0	0	yes	1
America Last	america last	1	0	0	n	1	0	0.47	hist	0	0	no	1
Kennedy Center	kennedy center	1	0	0	n	1	0	0.47	hist	0	0	no	1
Mustache	mustache	1	0	0	n	1	0	0.47	hist	0	0	no	1
Love Trump / Loves Trump	love trump|loves trump	0	0			1	1	0.47	hist	0	0	no	1
Ayatollah / Khamenei / Khomeini	ayatollah|khamenei|khomeini	1	0	0	n	1	0	0.46	hist	0	0	yes	1
RINO / Republican in Name Only	republican in name only|rino	0	0			1	0	0.44	hist	0	0	no	1
Six Seven	six seven	15	4	0.27	nnnnnnYnnY	1	0	0.43	hist	0	0	yes	1
Dog	dog	8	2	0.25	YnYnnnnn	1	0	0.42	hist	0	0	yes	1
Coward	coward	1	0	0	n	1	0	0.42	hist	0	0	no	1
Palestine	palestine	13	1	0.08	Ynnnnnnnnn	1	0	0.4	hist	0	0	no	1
Fuck / Fucking / Fucked	fuck|fucked|fucking	3	0	0	nnn	1	0	0.38	hist	0	0	no	1
Discombobulator / Discombobulated	discombobulated|discombobulator	0	0			1	0	0.34	hist	0	0	yes	1
N Word	n word	9	0	0	nnnnnnnnn	1	0	0.24	hist	0	0	no	1
Operation Epic Fury	operation epic fury	1	1	1	Y	1	0	0.51	prior	0	0	yes	1
MVP	mvp	1	0	0	n	1	0	0.51	prior	0	0	yes	1
Alien Dot Gov / Aliens Dot Gov	alien dot gov|aliens dot gov	0	0			1	0	0.51	prior	0	0	no	1
Cocktail	cocktail	0	0			1	0	0.51	prior	0	0	no	1
Dead by June	dead by june	0	0			1	0	0.51	prior	0	0	no	1
Disgusting	disgusting	0	0			1	0	0.51	prior	0	0	yes	1
Not an Autopen / Not an Auto Pen	not an auto pen|not an autopen	0	0			1	0	0.51	prior	0	0	no	1
Peacefully and Patriotically	peacefully and patriotically	0	0			1	0	0.51	prior	0	0	no	1