# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · remarks 2025-10-29 · 21 words · P p:what-will-trump-say-during-xi-bilateral-on-october-29 · as_of 2026-10-27T09:41:58Z
# scope P named · n/y settled before 2025-10-29 · tn/th blank: no remarks transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v P, res no · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-during-xi-bilateral-on-october-29 (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at scheduled events featuring the President of China on October 29, 2025.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src
Nuclear	nuclear	1	47	31	0.66	nYnYYYnnnY	0.66	hist
Modi	modi	1	2	2	1	YY	0.55	hist
Tariff 3+ times	tariff#3	3	5	4	0.8	YYnYY	0.53	hist
Russia	russia	1	40	23	0.57	nYYYYYYnnn	0.53	hist
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	1	57	21	0.37	nYYnYYYYYY	0.52	hist
Mineral	mineral	1	9	4	0.44	YnnYYnnnY	0.49	hist
Submarine	submarine	1	1	1	1	Y	0.46	hist
Biden 2+ times	biden#2	2	1	1	1	Y	0.45	hist
Chip	chip	1	10	6	0.6	YnYYnYnYYn	0.45	hist
Farmer	farmer	1	6	3	0.5	YnYYnn	0.45	hist
Taiwan	taiwan	1	7	2	0.29	nYnnnnY	0.45	hist
China 5+ times	china#5	5	19	14	0.74	nYYYnYnYnY	0.44	hist
Soybean	soybean	1	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.42	hist
Viktor / Orbán	orban|viktor	1	0	0			0.41	hist
Million / Billion / Trillion 5+ times	billion|million|trillion#5	5	1	0	0	n	0.34	hist
Fentanyl	fentanyl	1	16	3	0.19	Ynnnnnnnnn	0.27	hist
TikTok	tiktok	1	28	7	0.25	nnnnYnnnnn	0.23	hist
Crypto / Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	1	155	11	0.07	nnYYYnnnnn	0.06	hist
Fair relationship	fair relationship	1	0	0			0.41	prior
Hungary / Budapest	budapest|hungary	1	0	0			0.41	prior
Nixon	nixon	1	0	0			0.41	prior