Will Donald Trump say “Obliterated / Obliteration / Obliterating”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Donald Trump said “Obliterated / Obliteration / Obliterating” at 5 of 7 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Nov 2, 2025 (71%), most recently on Mar 27, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 54% (n=7, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 4 keynotes we have transcripts for (Jun 26, 2026 – Jul 15, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1. 1 later keynote without a transcript yet (Oct 8, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 5/7Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes no yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 3 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Obliterated / Obliteration / Obliterating
- Probability
- 54% · n=7
- Settled
- 5/7 (71%)
- Last 4 keynotes
- said in 1 of 4
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…to a nuclear weapon for Iran. It was a horrible deal. We obliterated Iran's nuclear enrichment capacity with Operation Midnight Hammer. You remember that? Late…
…to a the number one state sponsor of terror Iran so we obliterated Iran's nuclear enrichment capacity with operation midnight hammer and operation epic fuel…
…Iran. I terminated that was a road to a nuclear weapon. We obliterated Iran's nuclear enrichment capacity with Operation Midnight Hammer, a beautiful operation, and…
…refused. They absolutely refused. That was a big mistake Then in Operation Midnight Hammer, the U.S. military obliterated their nuclear program beneath mountains of rubble.
Every settled listing
newest first · 7 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2026 | Obliterated / Obliteration / Obliterating |  Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Jan 13, 2026 | Obliterated / Obliteration / Obliterating | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Dec 16, 2025 | Obliterated / Obliteration / Obliterating | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Dec 12, 2025 | Obliterated / Obliteration / Obliterating | Polymarket | No | – |
| Nov 27, 2025 | Obliterated / Obliterating / Obliteration | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Nov 10, 2025 | Obliterated / Obliteration / Obliterating | Polymarket | No | – |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Obliterated / Obliteration / Obliterating | Polymarket | Yes | – (settled yes · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet)) |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Obliterated / Obliteration / Obliterating”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Donald Trump said “Obliterated / Obliteration / Obliterating” at 5 of 7 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Nov 2, 2025 (71%), most recently on Mar 27, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Obliterated / Obliteration / Obliterating” next time?
- 54%, from settlement history (n=7). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Obliterated / Obliteration / Obliterating’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/obliterated-or-obliterating-or-obliteration (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=obliterated%20%2F%20obliterating%20%2F%20obliteration · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP