Will Donald Trump say “Gulf”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Gulf” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Nov 27, 2025 (100%), most recently on Mar 27, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 54% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 4 keynotes we have transcripts for (Jun 26, 2026 – Jul 15, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0. 1 later keynote without a transcript yet (Oct 8, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Gulf
- Probability
- 54% · n=2
- Settled
- 2/2 (100%)
- Last 4 keynotes
- said in 0 of 4
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…action to support an important industry here in the shores of the Gulf of America. How do we like the Gulf of America? the Gulf.…
…name. You know, I changed the name of a place called the Gulf of Mexico. You may have heard I changed a name from the…
…thrilled? Ladies and g I mean, we changed the name of the Gulf of Mexico. Why can't we change the name of the Haros? I…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown
PolymarketQuestions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Gulf”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Gulf” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Nov 27, 2025 (100%), most recently on Mar 27, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Gulf” next time?
- 54%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Gulf’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/gulf (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=gulf · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP