Will Zohran Mamdani say “Snow / Snowball”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Zohran Mamdani said “Snow / Snowball” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 25, 2026 (50%), most recently on Feb 27, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 40% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Oct 6, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Zohran Mamdani
Snow / Snowball
- Probability
- 40% · n=2
- Settled
- 1/2 (50%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Snow / Snowball |  Kalshi | Yes | 3 |
| Feb 25, 2026 | Snowball / Snow | Kalshi | No | – |
Questions
- How often does Zohran Mamdani say “Snow / Snowball”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Zohran Mamdani said “Snow / Snowball” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 25, 2026 (50%), most recently on Feb 27, 2026.
- What is the probability Zohran Mamdani says “Snow / Snowball” next time?
- 40%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Zohran Mamdani: ‘Snow / Snowball’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/zohran-mamdani/words/snow-or-snowball (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=zohran-mamdani&word=snow%20%2F%20snowball · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=zohran-mamdani&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP