Will Zohran Mamdani say “Muslim / Ramadan”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Zohran Mamdani said “Muslim / Ramadan” at 1 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 25, 2026 (33%), most recently on Feb 25, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 35% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Oct 6, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.
- Last 10
- 1/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Zohran Mamdani
Muslim / Ramadan
- Probability
- 35% · n=3
- Settled
- 1/3 (33%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2026 | Muslim / Ramadan |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Feb 27, 2026 | Ramadan / Muslim | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Feb 25, 2026 | Ramadan / Muslim | Kalshi | Yes | – |
Questions
- How often does Zohran Mamdani say “Muslim / Ramadan”?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, Zohran Mamdani said “Muslim / Ramadan” at 1 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 25, 2026 (33%), most recently on Feb 25, 2026.
- What is the probability Zohran Mamdani says “Muslim / Ramadan” next time?
- 35%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Zohran Mamdani: ‘Muslim / Ramadan’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/zohran-mamdani/words/muslim-or-ramadan (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=zohran-mamdani&word=muslim%20%2F%20ramadan · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=zohran-mamdani&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP