What is the probability Zohran Mamdani says “Inside / Indoors” next time?

57%, from settlement history (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.

Who has to say it for the market to count?

Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Will Zohran Mamdani say “Inside / Indoors”?

Name: Zohran Mamdani: “Inside / Indoors” mention history
Creator: parrot.markets
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

As of Oct 24, 2026, Zohran Mamdani said “Inside / Indoors” at 4 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 25, 2026 (80%), most recently on Jan 28, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 57% (n=5, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Oct 6, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 6.

57%from settlement history only · n=5counts: named speaker only

Last 10: 4/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no yes yes
Streak: said the last 2 times
Counts: named speaker only

Updated Oct 24, 2026, 10:13 UTC

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Zohran Mamdani

Inside / Indoors

Probability: 57% · n=5
Settled: 4/5 (80%)
Last 8 remarks: said in 6 of 8

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Zohran MamdanispeakerMayor Mamdani Re-Opens Edenwald’s Community, Senior and Child Care Centers · Oct 23, 2026In transcript

…of the leaders that we have here, together with us today, both inside and outside of our administration. I'll start on the inside. We have…

Zohran MamdanispeakerMayor Mamdani Expands Community-Based Violence Prevention to Bushwick, Harlem, and Washington Heights/Inwood · Oct 20, 2026In transcript

…also want to acknowledge a number of leaders we have here, both inside and outside of our City government. We have, as we've just heard…

Zohran MamdanispeakerMayor Mamdani and Hochul Bring 2‑K to All of the Bronx and Staten Island, Adding 10,000 Seats Across Every Borough · Oct 19, 2026In transcript

…want to acknowledge that we have a lot of our leaders, both inside and outside of city government, who are here with us today. If…

Zohran MamdanispeakerMayor Mamdani Announces New NYU Quantum Fabrication Facility, First-of-Its-Kind Partnership To Give City a Stake in Emerging Industry · Oct 14, 2026In transcript

…city a global center of innovation. We have leaders with us both inside and outside of our administration today. We have our deputy mayor, Julie…

Zohran MamdanispeakerMayor Mamdani and Speaker Menin Cut Red Tape to Expedite Payments for Up to 800 Nonprofits · Oct 8, 2026In transcript

…and partners in government. I want to acknowledge we have leaders both inside and outside of City government here with us today. We have Speaker…