The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell: Episode, Oct 22, 2026
On the Oct 22, 2026 episode of The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell, 8 of the 15 words Kalshi listed were said; Parrot’s count agreed with all 15 settlements. Counts and timings only: the captions are at the Internet Archive.
UpdatedMarkets
15 words · 8 settled yes · our count agreed on 15 of 15- Kalshi: named speaker only
Kalshi
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Farm / Farmer | Yes | 6 | 9 | ✓ | 61%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Gas / Diesel | Yes | 4 | 6 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Healthcare | Yes | 2 | 4 | ✓ | 74%n=34 from settlement history | – |
| Tariff | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | 57%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Yes | 2 | 6 | ✓ | 51%n=48 from settlement history | – |
| Iran / Iranian | Yes | 2 | 6 | ✓ | 49%n=30 from settlement history | – |
| Billionaire | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | 39%n=19 from settlement history | – |
| Corrupt / Corruption | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 64%n=42 from settlement history | – |
| Trump 3+ times | No | 2 | 30 | ✓ | 34%n=23 from settlement history | – |
| Election | No | 0 | 11 | ✓ | 58%n=36 from settlement history | – |
| Cancer | No | 0 | 4 | ✓ | 42%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Debate | No | 0 | 1 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Republican | No | 0 | 29 | ✓ | 34%n=58 from settlement history | – |
| Border | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 29%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| ICE | No | 0 | 1 | ✓ | 20%n=20 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 23, 2026 13:08 UTC.
Transcript
counts and timings onlyCaptions · machine-attributed · Internet Archive TV News Archive (broadcast captions) · Source · Counts and timings only: the captions are at the Internet Archive.
3 matches for “Billion”; counts and timings only, no caption text.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Where the listed words were said
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/the-last-word:2026-10-22:tv_episode · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=the-last-word:2026-10-22:tv_episode · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP