Josh Turek
As of Oct 23, 2026, Kalshi has settled 51 word markets on Josh Turek’s appearances since 2026, on 20 different words.
History Wall
1–21 of 21, most settled first| Word | Aug 25episode | Aug 27episode | Oct 6episode | Oct 22latest | Last 4 | Settled | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corrupt / Corruptionevery time | 1 time: Corrupt / Corruption, Aug 25 episode, counts as said | 5 times: Corrupt / Corruption, Aug 27 episode, counts as said | 3 times: Corrupt / Corruption, Oct 6 episode, counts as said | 1 time: Corrupt / Corruption, Oct 22 episode, counts as said | 4/4100% | 4/4100% | – |
| Farm / Farmerevery time | 5 times: Farm / Farmer, Aug 25 episode, counts as said | 7 times: Farm / Farmer, Aug 27 episode, counts as said | 5 times: Farm / Farmer, Oct 6 episode, counts as said | 6 times: Farm / Farmer, Oct 22 episode, counts as said | 4/4100% | 4/4100% | – |
| Healthcareevery time | 3 times: Healthcare, Aug 25 episode, counts as said | 1 time: Healthcare, Aug 27 episode, counts as said | 1 time: Healthcare, Oct 6 episode, counts as said | 2 times: Healthcare, Oct 22 episode, counts as said | 4/4100% | 4/4100% | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | 0 times: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Aug 25 episode | 2 times: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Aug 27 episode, counts as said | 1 time: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Oct 6 episode, counts as said | 2 times: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Oct 22 episode, counts as said | 3/475% | 3/475% | – |
| Republicannever said | 0 times: Republican, Aug 25 episode | 0 times: Republican, Aug 27 episode | 0 times: Republican, Oct 6 episode | 0 times: Republican, Oct 22 episode | 0/40% | 0/40% | – |
| Tariff | Not listed: Tariff, Aug 25 episode | 1 time: Tariff, Aug 27 episode, counts as said | 6 times: Tariff, Oct 6 episode, counts as said | 2 times: Tariff, Oct 22 episode, counts as said | 3/3100% | 3/3100% | – |
| Billionaire | Not listed: Billionaire, Aug 25 episode | 0 times: Billionaire, Aug 27 episode | 2 times: Billionaire, Oct 6 episode, counts as said | 2 times: Billionaire, Oct 22 episode, counts as said | 2/367% | 2/367% | – |
| Cancer | 1 time: Cancer, Aug 25 episode, counts as said | 0 times: Cancer, Aug 27 episode | Not listed: Cancer, Oct 6 episode | 0 times: Cancer, Oct 22 episode | 1/333% | 1/333% | – |
| Election | 0 times: Election, Aug 25 episode | Not listed: Election, Aug 27 episode | 1 time: Election, Oct 6 episode, counts as said | 0 times: Election, Oct 22 episode | 1/333% | 1/333% | – |
| Trump3+ times | 0 times: Trump (3+ times), Aug 25 episode | Not listed: Trump (3+ times), Aug 27 episode | 0 times: Trump (3+ times), Oct 6 episode | 2 times: Trump (3+ times), Oct 22 episode, below the threshold | 0/30% | 0/30% | – |
| Gas / Diesel | Not listed: Gas / Diesel, Aug 25 episode | Not listed: Gas / Diesel, Aug 27 episode | 2 times: Gas / Diesel, Oct 6 episode, counts as said | 4 times: Gas / Diesel, Oct 22 episode, counts as said | 2/2100% | 2/2100% | – |
| Iowa | 3 times: Iowa, Aug 25 episode, counts as said | 6 times: Iowa, Aug 27 episode, counts as said | Not listed: Iowa, Oct 6 episode | Not listed: Iowa, Oct 22 episode | 2/2100% | 2/2100% | – |
| Iran / Iranian | Not listed: Iran / Iranian, Aug 25 episode | Not listed: Iran / Iranian, Aug 27 episode | 3 times: Iran / Iranian, Oct 6 episode, counts as said | 2 times: Iran / Iranian, Oct 22 episode, counts as said | 2/2100% | 2/2100% | – |
| Border | Not listed: Border, Aug 25 episode | Not listed: Border, Aug 27 episode | 0 times: Border, Oct 6 episode | 0 times: Border, Oct 22 episode | 0/20% | 0/20% | – |
| ICE | 0 times: ICE, Aug 25 episode | Not listed: ICE, Aug 27 episode | Not listed: ICE, Oct 6 episode | 0 times: ICE, Oct 22 episode | 0/20% | 0/20% | – |
| Hinson | Not listed: Hinson, Aug 25 episode | Not listed: Hinson, Aug 27 episode | 3 times: Hinson, Oct 6 episode, counts as said | Not listed: Hinson, Oct 22 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | Not listed: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Aug 25 episode | 0 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Aug 27 episode | Not listed: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Oct 6 episode | Not listed: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Oct 22 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| Debate | Not listed: Debate, Aug 25 episode | Not listed: Debate, Aug 27 episode | Not listed: Debate, Oct 6 episode | 0 times: Debate, Oct 22 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| Joni / Ernst | 0 times: Joni / Ernst, Aug 25 episode | Not listed: Joni / Ernst, Aug 27 episode | Not listed: Joni / Ernst, Oct 6 episode | Not listed: Joni / Ernst, Oct 22 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Not listed: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Aug 25 episode | 0 times: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Aug 27 episode | Not listed: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Oct 6 episode | Not listed: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Oct 22 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| Trump | Not listed: Trump, Aug 25 episode | 0 times: Trump, Aug 27 episode | Not listed: Trump, Oct 6 episode | Not listed: Trump, Oct 22 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
- Y: settled yes (a number: our count)
- N: settled no
- not listed
- probability next time, with n
- Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
- Last N
- of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
- Settled
- every settled market of the word: said / listed
- Probability
- the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history
Appearances and settled record
latest 4Settled results come from the venues. Our own transcript counts appear here once transcripts arrive for these appearances. How we check.
| Date | Appearance | Text | Words | Settled | Our count agreed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2026 | EpisodeWhat will Josh Turek say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? | Captions · machine-attributed | 16 | 8 yes · 8 no | 15/15 (100%) |
| Oct 6, 2026 | EpisodeWhat will Josh Turek say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? | Captions · machine-attributed | 14 | 10 yes · 4 no | 13/13 (100%) |
| Aug 27, 2026 | EpisodeWhat will Josh Turek say during The Briefing with Jen Psaki? | Captions · machine-attributed | 13 | 6 yes · 7 no | 12/12 (100%) |
| Aug 25, 2026 | EpisodeWhat will Josh Turek say during The Last Word With Lawrence O'Donnell? | Captions · machine-attributed | 12 | 5 yes · 7 no | 11/11 (100%) |
Citeparrot.markets, “Josh Turek: mention market word history”, as of Oct 23, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/josh-turek (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/josh-turek · words: /api/v1/history?entity=josh-turek · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP