Will “Gas / Diesel” be said on The Last Word next time?

As of Oct 27, 2026, “Gas / Diesel” was said on The Last Word in 2 of 2 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Oct 6, 2026 (100%), most recently on Oct 22, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 53% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 episodes we have transcripts for (Sep 30, 2026 – Oct 22, 2026), 2 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2 of them.

53%from settlement history only · n=2counts: named speaker only
Last 10
2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
Streak
said the last 2 times
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=the-last-word&word=diesel%20%2F%20gas

Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell

Gas / Diesel

Probability
53% · n=2
Settled
2/2 (100%)
Last 8 episodes
said in 2 of 2 that name the speakers

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will Josh Turek say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? · said 4 times (counts)

Open the appearance

Counts: named speaker only

4 counted; 2 by speakers the rule does not count.

Josh Turekguest42:53In transcript

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Josh Turekguest43:49In transcript

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Every match in the transcript

What will Jon Ossoff say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Jon Ossoff say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Raphael Warnock say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? · not listed

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What will Josh Turek say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? · said 2 times (counts)

Open the appearance

Counts: named speaker only

2 counted; 9 by speakers the rule does not count.

Josh Turekguest28:02In transcript

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Iowa farmer (video clip)other25:57In transcript

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Not counted under this market’s speaker rule.

Every match in the transcript

What will Cory Booker say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Sherrod Brown say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Jon Ossoff say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Jon Ossoff say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Mark Kelly say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? · not listed

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 2 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Oct 22, 2026Gas / DieselKalshiYes4
Oct 6, 2026Gas / DieselKalshiYes2

Questions

How often is “Gas / Diesel” said on The Last Word?
As of Oct 27, 2026, “Gas / Diesel” was said on The Last Word in 2 of 2 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Oct 6, 2026 (100%), most recently on Oct 22, 2026.
What is the probability “Gas / Diesel” is said on The Last Word next time?
53%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “The Last Word: ‘Gas / Diesel’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/the-last-word/words/diesel-or-gas (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=the-last-word&word=diesel%20%2F%20gas · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=the-last-word&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP