Vlad Tenev: HOOD Summit '26 Keynote, Sep 29, 2026
At the keynote on Sep 29, 2026, Vlad Tenev said 3 of the 17 words Kalshi listed; Parrot’s count agreed with 13 of 17 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
UpdatedMarkets
17 words · 3 settled yes · our count agreed on 13 of 17- Kalshi: named speaker only
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Social | Yes | 8 | 11 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Option / Options | Yes | 3 | 17 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Perp / Perpetual | Yes | 3 | 4 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 4 | 5 | ✗ | 22%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Futures | No | 3 | 5 | ✗ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Tokenized / Tokenization | No | 1 | 2 | ✗ | 10%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Bitcoin | No | 1 | 5 | ✗ | 9%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Crypto / Cryptocurrency | No | 0 | 5 | ✓ | 34%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Active Trader / Active Trading | No | 0 | 1 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Gold 3+ times | No | 0 | 2 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| NFL / Football | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| SpaceX | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Ventures Fund | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Credit Card | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| SIG / Susquehanna | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Kalshi | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 11%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Blockchain | No | 0 | 1 | ✓ | 7%n=4 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 23:45 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsCaptions · machine-attributed · Robinhood (YouTube) · Source · Quotes of at most 25 words; the full recording is on the publisher's official channel.
0 matches for “Tokenized / Tokenization”.
Where the listed words were said
Abashek, please hurry. Anna, how soon can you activate Robin Hood social?
More than a third increase in your options trading hours. Just one more reason why you'd be at a disadvantage trading anywhere other than Robin…
…Um, there's been an explosion of a new class of futures called PERPS. How many of you have heard of those or even traded those?…
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/vlad-tenev:2026-09-29:keynote · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=vlad-tenev:2026-09-29:keynote · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP