Will Vlad Tenev say “Futures”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Vlad Tenev did not say “Futures” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Sep 29, 2026.
Of the last 3 keynotes we have transcripts for (Dec 17, 2025 – Sep 29, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Vlad Tenev
Futures
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 3 keynotes
- said in 1 of 3
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Counts: named speaker only
3 counted; 2 by speakers the rule does not count.
…So since Grace and I were here two years ago launching traditional futures, how many of you were in attendance two years ago? when we…
…asset. Secondly, in Tradfi, um, as many of you know who use futures, it can be costly to continue to roll and you have exposure…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2026 | Futures |  Kalshi | No | 3 ✗ (our count disagrees with the settlement) |
Questions
- How often does Vlad Tenev say “Futures”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Vlad Tenev did not say “Futures” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Sep 29, 2026.
- What is the probability Vlad Tenev says “Futures” next time?
- 10%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Vlad Tenev: ‘Futures’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/business/vlad-tenev/words/future (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=vlad-tenev&word=future · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=vlad-tenev&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP