Will Vlad Tenev say “AI / Artificial Intelligence”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Vlad Tenev said “AI / Artificial Intelligence” at 1 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 12, 2026 (33%), most recently on Feb 11, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 13% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 4 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 keynotes, 1 episode; Nov 6, 2025 – Sep 29, 2026), since fewer than 2 panels have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 3.
- Last 10
- 1/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
- Market
- 78¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Vlad Tenev
AI / Artificial Intelligence
- Probability
- 13% · n=3
- Settled
- 1/3 (33%)
- Last 4 transcripts
- said in 3 of 4
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Counts: named speaker only
4 counted; 1 by speakers the rule does not count.
…power of a hedge fund inside the Robin Hood app with frontier AI models, high-grade institutional data, and automated strategy execution 247 and it's called…
…second, we wanted to give you the ability to use the frontier AI models available. So you can pick between GPT6 Luna, GPT6 Soul, or…
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2026 | AI / Artificial Intelligence |  Kalshi | No | 4 ✗ (our count disagrees with the settlement) |
| Mar 5, 2026 | AI / Artificial Intelligence | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Feb 12, 2026 | AI / Artificial Intelligence | Kalshi | Yes | – |
Questions
- How often does Vlad Tenev say “AI / Artificial Intelligence”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Vlad Tenev said “AI / Artificial Intelligence” at 1 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 12, 2026 (33%), most recently on Feb 11, 2026.
- What is the probability Vlad Tenev says “AI / Artificial Intelligence” next time?
- 13%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Vlad Tenev: ‘AI / Artificial Intelligence’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/business/vlad-tenev/words/ai-or-artificial-intelligence (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=vlad-tenev&word=ai%20%2F%20artificial%20intelligence · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=vlad-tenev&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP