Will Vlad Tenev say “SIG / Susquehanna”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Vlad Tenev did not say “SIG / Susquehanna” at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Dec 17, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 8% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 3 keynotes we have transcripts for (Dec 17, 2025 – Sep 29, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Vlad Tenev
SIG / Susquehanna
- Probability
- 8% · n=2
- Settled
- 0/2 (0%)
- Last 3 keynotes
- said in 0 of 3
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2026 | SIG / Susquehanna |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Dec 17, 2025 | SIG / Susquehanna | Kalshi | No | 0 |
Questions
- How often does Vlad Tenev say “SIG / Susquehanna”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Vlad Tenev did not say “SIG / Susquehanna” at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Dec 17, 2025.
- What is the probability Vlad Tenev says “SIG / Susquehanna” next time?
- 8%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Vlad Tenev: ‘SIG / Susquehanna’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/business/vlad-tenev/words/sig-or-susquehanna (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=vlad-tenev&word=sig%20%2F%20susquehanna · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=vlad-tenev&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP