Bret Johnsen: Keynote, Sep 10, 2026
SpaceX at Goldman Sachs Communacopia
At the keynote on Sep 10, 2026, Bret Johnsen said 7 of the 21 words Kalshi listed.
Part of Goldman sachs communacopia (4 appearances).
UpdatedMarkets
21 words · 7 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| China / Chinese | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| NVIDIA | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| OpenAI / Anthropic | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Starship | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Elon / Musk | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Starlink | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| xAI | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Artemis | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Colossus | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Data Center | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Moon | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Starbase | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Tesla | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Louisiana | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Space Force | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| ISS | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Lockup / Unlock | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Mars | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Merge / Merger / Combine | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| NASA | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Trump / President | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 23:45 UTC.
Transcript
No public transcript expected. SpaceX webcast at an investor conference (investor relations, usually behind registration). The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/bret-johnsen:2026-09-10:keynote · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=bret-johnsen:2026-09-10:keynote · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP