Will SpaceX say “Colossus”?

SpaceX did not say “Colossus” on its Oct 20, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 1 of its last 2 calls: 2, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, SpaceX said “Colossus” at 1 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Aug 4, 2026 (33%), most recently on Aug 4, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 42% (n=3, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

42%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=3Next: Earnings call, Jan 26, 2027 · counts: company speakers + operator
Last 10
1/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no
Streak
not said the last 2 times
Counts
company speakers + operator
Market
47¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

SpaceX

Colossus

Probability
42% · n=3
Settled
1/3 (33%)
Last calls
said in 1 of 2

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY26 Q3 earnings call, Oct 20, 2026 · not said

Open the appearance

FY26 Q2 earnings call, Aug 4, 2026 · said 2 times (counts)

Open the appearance

Counts: company speakers + operator

2 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Bret JohnsencompanypreparedIn transcript

…entered into cloud services agreements providing access to compute capacity at our Colossus and Colossus two sites. The initial ramp from these agreements contributed $1.6…

Every match in the transcript

Every settled listing

newest first · 3 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Oct 20, 2026ColossusKalshiNo0
Sep 10, 2026ColossusKalshiNo–
Aug 4, 2026ColossusKalshiYes2

Questions

How many times did SpaceX say “Colossus” on its last earnings call?
SpaceX did not say “Colossus” on its Oct 20, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 1 of its last 2 calls: 2, 0 times.
How often does SpaceX say “Colossus”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, SpaceX said “Colossus” at 1 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Aug 4, 2026 (33%), most recently on Aug 4, 2026.
What is the probability SpaceX says “Colossus” next time?
42%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “SpaceX: ‘Colossus’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/SPCX/words/colossus (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=spacex&word=colossus · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=spacex&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP