Will SpaceX say “Mars”?
SpaceX did not say “Mars” on its Oct 20, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), or on any of its last 2 calls. As of Oct 24, 2026, SpaceX did not say “Mars” at any of the 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Aug 4, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 13% (n=3, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
13%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=3Next: Earnings call, Jan 26, 2027 · counts: company speakers + operator
- Last 10
- 0/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 3 times
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
- Market
- 46¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Updated
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
SpaceX
Mars
- Probability
- 13% · n=3
- Settled
- 0/3 (0%)
- Last calls
- said in 0 of 2
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shown
Kalshi
PolymarketQuestions
- How many times did SpaceX say “Mars” on its last earnings call?
- SpaceX did not say “Mars” on its Oct 20, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), or on any of its last 2 calls.
- How often does SpaceX say “Mars”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, SpaceX did not say “Mars” at any of the 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Aug 4, 2026.
- What is the probability SpaceX says “Mars” next time?
- 13%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “SpaceX: ‘Mars’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/SPCX/words/mar (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=spacex&word=mar · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=spacex&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP