Will SpaceX say “NASA”?
SpaceX said “NASA” 2 times on its Oct 20, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on 1 of its last 2 calls: 0, 2 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, SpaceX said “NASA” at 1 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Aug 4, 2026 (33%), most recently on Oct 20, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 55% (n=3, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 1/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
- Market
- 46¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
SpaceX
NASA
- Probability
- 55% · n=3
- Settled
- 1/3 (33%)
- Last calls
- said in 1 of 2
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator
2 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…12 high-profile customer missions, including the Falcon Heavy launch, which we flew NASA's Roman Space Telescope into deep space. We also flew 6 national security…
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How many times did SpaceX say “NASA” on its last earnings call?
- SpaceX said “NASA” 2 times on its Oct 20, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on 1 of its last 2 calls: 0, 2 times.
- How often does SpaceX say “NASA”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, SpaceX said “NASA” at 1 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Aug 4, 2026 (33%), most recently on Oct 20, 2026.
- What is the probability SpaceX says “NASA” next time?
- 55%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “SpaceX: ‘NASA’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/SPCX/words/nasa (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=spacex&word=nasa · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=spacex&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP