Will SpaceX say “Tesla”?

SpaceX said “Tesla” 3 times on its Oct 20, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on each of its last 2 calls: 1, 3 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, SpaceX said “Tesla” at 2 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Aug 4, 2026 (67%), most recently on Oct 20, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 77% (n=3, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

77%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=3Next: Earnings call, Jan 26, 2027 · counts: company speakers + operator
Last 10
2/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
company speakers + operator
Market
46¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=spacex&word=tesla

Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

SpaceX

Tesla

Probability
77% · n=3
Settled
2/3 (67%)
Last calls
said in 2 of 2

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY26 Q3 earnings call, Oct 20, 2026 · said 3 times (counts)

Open the appearance

Counts: company speakers + operator

3 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 3 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.

Elon MuskcompanyqaIn transcript

…have to be thoughtful about what I say here. Both SpaceX and Tesla have formed special committees to discuss this idea, at the request of…

Elon MuskcompanyqaIn transcript

…conversation. I think some people out there assume that a SpaceX and Tesla merger is a certainty, and I think that would be overstating it.…

Every match in the transcript

FY26 Q2 earnings call, Aug 4, 2026 · said 1 time (counts)

Open the appearance

Counts: company speakers + operator

1 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).

Elon MuskcompanyqaIn transcript

…at hardware. In fact, I'd say probably outside of China, SpaceX and Tesla are the two best companies on Earth at hardware. Yeah, I think…

Every settled listing

newest first · 4 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Oct 20, 2026TeslaKalshiYes3
Sep 10, 2026TeslaKalshiNo–
Aug 4, 2026TeslaPolymarketYes1
Aug 4, 2026TeslaKalshiYes1

Questions

How many times did SpaceX say “Tesla” on its last earnings call?
SpaceX said “Tesla” 3 times on its Oct 20, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on each of its last 2 calls: 1, 3 times.
How often does SpaceX say “Tesla”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, SpaceX said “Tesla” at 2 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Aug 4, 2026 (67%), most recently on Oct 20, 2026.
What is the probability SpaceX says “Tesla” next time?
77%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “SpaceX: ‘Tesla’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/SPCX/words/tesla (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=spacex&word=tesla · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=spacex&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP