Will SpaceX say “Elon / Musk”?
SpaceX said “Elon / Musk” 8 times on its Oct 20, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on each of its last 2 calls: 9, 8 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, SpaceX said “Elon / Musk” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Sep 10, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 71% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
SpaceX
Elon / Musk
- Probability
- 71% · n=1
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last calls
- said in 2 of 2
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
8 counted (7 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A); 2 by speakers the rule does not count.
…joining us for SpaceX's third quarter 2026 earnings presentation. Joining us are Elon, Gwynne, and Bret, and we are live streaming on X. Our third…
…a net loss of $1.1 billion. Adjusted EBITDA of $8.8 billion, up 306% from $2.2 billion. With that, I'll hand the call over to Elon.
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
9 counted (8 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A); 5 by speakers the rule does not count.
…call. I'm Andrea Williams, Head of Investor Relations. Joining me today are Elon, Gwyn, and Bret, we are speaking to you from our facility in…
…$467 million, an adjusted EBITDA of $3.5 billion, up 191% from $1.2 billion. I will hand the call over to Elon for his opening remarks.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 10, 2026 | Elon / Musk |  Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How many times did SpaceX say “Elon / Musk” on its last earnings call?
- SpaceX said “Elon / Musk” 8 times on its Oct 20, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on each of its last 2 calls: 9, 8 times.
- How often does SpaceX say “Elon / Musk”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, SpaceX said “Elon / Musk” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Sep 10, 2026.
- What is the probability SpaceX says “Elon / Musk” next time?
- 71%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “SpaceX: ‘Elon / Musk’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/SPCX/words/elon-or-musk (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=spacex&word=elon%20%2F%20musk · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=spacex&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP