Will SpaceX say “Lockup / Unlock”?
SpaceX did not say “Lockup / Unlock” on its Oct 20, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), or on any of its last 2 calls. As of Oct 24, 2026, SpaceX did not say “Lockup / Unlock” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Sep 10, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 19% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
19%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=1counts: named speaker only
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Updated
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
SpaceX
Lockup / Unlock
- Probability
- 19% · n=1
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last calls
- said in 0 of 2
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 10, 2026 | Lockup / Unlock |  Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How many times did SpaceX say “Lockup / Unlock” on its last earnings call?
- SpaceX did not say “Lockup / Unlock” on its Oct 20, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), or on any of its last 2 calls.
- How often does SpaceX say “Lockup / Unlock”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, SpaceX did not say “Lockup / Unlock” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Sep 10, 2026.
- What is the probability SpaceX says “Lockup / Unlock” next time?
- 19%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “SpaceX: ‘Lockup / Unlock’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/SPCX/words/lockup-or-unlock (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=spacex&word=lockup%20%2F%20unlock · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=spacex&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP