Will SpaceX say “Anthropic / OpenAI”?
SpaceX did not say “Anthropic / OpenAI” on its Oct 20, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 1 of its last 2 calls: 3, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, SpaceX said “Anthropic / OpenAI” at 2 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Aug 4, 2026 (67%), most recently on Sep 10, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 54% (n=3, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 2/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
- Market
- 46¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
SpaceX
Anthropic / OpenAI
- Probability
- 54% · n=3
- Settled
- 2/3 (67%)
- Last calls
- said in 1 of 2
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator
3 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A).
…as well as those for other leading companies such as Google and Anthropic. In terms of our own Grok models, the enterprise feedback on rollout…
…think should be considered one of the milestones and a credit to Anthropic of, I would say a shock to the system, was how good…
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2026 | Anthropic / OpenAI |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | OpenAI / Anthropic | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Anthropic / OpenAI | Kalshi | Yes | 3 |
Questions
- How many times did SpaceX say “Anthropic / OpenAI” on its last earnings call?
- SpaceX did not say “Anthropic / OpenAI” on its Oct 20, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 1 of its last 2 calls: 3, 0 times.
- How often does SpaceX say “Anthropic / OpenAI”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, SpaceX said “Anthropic / OpenAI” at 2 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Aug 4, 2026 (67%), most recently on Sep 10, 2026.
- What is the probability SpaceX says “Anthropic / OpenAI” next time?
- 54%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “SpaceX: ‘Anthropic / OpenAI’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/SPCX/words/anthropic-or-openai (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=spacex&word=anthropic%20%2F%20openai · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=spacex&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP