Will SpaceX say “NVIDIA”?
SpaceX did not say “NVIDIA” on its Oct 20, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 1 of its last 2 calls: 4, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, SpaceX said “NVIDIA” at 2 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Aug 4, 2026 (67%), most recently on Sep 10, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 59% (n=3, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 2/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
- Market
- 46¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
SpaceX
NVIDIA
- Probability
- 59% · n=3
- Settled
- 2/3 (67%)
- Last calls
- said in 1 of 2
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator
4 counted (3 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).
…to think about it. Going forward, we've decided to build exclusively on Nvidia, because we think the Vera Rubin architecture is the best architecture. We…
…in excess of the power and cooling that's needed. Our understanding with NVIDIA is that we will receive a very significant percentage of their GPUs…
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How many times did SpaceX say “NVIDIA” on its last earnings call?
- SpaceX did not say “NVIDIA” on its Oct 20, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 1 of its last 2 calls: 4, 0 times.
- How often does SpaceX say “NVIDIA”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, SpaceX said “NVIDIA” at 2 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Aug 4, 2026 (67%), most recently on Sep 10, 2026.
- What is the probability SpaceX says “NVIDIA” next time?
- 59%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “SpaceX: ‘NVIDIA’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/SPCX/words/nvidia (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=spacex&word=nvidia · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=spacex&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP