Will SpaceX say “Starbase”?
SpaceX said “Starbase” 2 times on its Oct 20, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on each of its last 2 calls: 2, 2 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, SpaceX said “Starbase” at 2 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Aug 4, 2026 (67%), most recently on Oct 20, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 77% (n=3, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 2/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
- Market
- 46¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
SpaceX
Starbase
- Probability
- 77% · n=3
- Settled
- 2/3 (67%)
- Last calls
- said in 2 of 2
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator
2 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).
…production, advancing Mega bay construction, and progressing multiple launch pads at both Starbase and the Cape. Importantly, we secured the location for the next phase…
…I'll take number six, which is, can you provide an update on Starbase Louisiana? What's the timeline and what's your current confidence level in achieving…
Counts: company speakers + operator
2 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…demonstrated core capabilities necessary to achieve an orbital mission and return to Starbase for catch. On Flight 14 will be our first flight to fly…
…our Gigabay, and making significant progress towards activating multiple launch pads at Starbase and in Cape Canaveral at Pad 39A and Pad 37. Space adjusted…
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How many times did SpaceX say “Starbase” on its last earnings call?
- SpaceX said “Starbase” 2 times on its Oct 20, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on each of its last 2 calls: 2, 2 times.
- How often does SpaceX say “Starbase”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, SpaceX said “Starbase” at 2 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Aug 4, 2026 (67%), most recently on Oct 20, 2026.
- What is the probability SpaceX says “Starbase” next time?
- 77%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “SpaceX: ‘Starbase’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/SPCX/words/starbase (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=spacex&word=starbase · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=spacex&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP