Will SpaceX say “Starship”?
SpaceX said “Starship” 26 times on its Oct 20, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on each of its last 2 calls: 23, 26 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, SpaceX said “Starship” at 3 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Aug 4, 2026 (100%), most recently on Oct 20, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 97% (n=3, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 3/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 3 times
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
- Market
- 72¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
SpaceX
Starship
- Probability
- 97% · n=3
- Settled
- 3/3 (100%)
- Last calls
- said in 2 of 2
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator
26 counted (24 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A).
…an inflection moment for SpaceX across launch connectivity and superintelligence. Starting with Starship, flight 14 was a critical milestone. Starship made it to orbit for…
…this succeeds next flight. If not, we have a steady stream of Starship flight attempts through the end of this year, and then accelerating next…
Counts: anyone
24 counted (19 in prepared remarks, 5 in Q&A).
…making great progress developing a fully and rapidly reusable reliable rocket with Starship. We're connecting millions more people globally across 170 markets with fast, reliable…
…4.5 last month. I'll dive into each of those topics separately. With Starship, we completed two successful flights of Starship B3 in the past 90…
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown
Kalshi
PolymarketQuestions
- How many times did SpaceX say “Starship” on its last earnings call?
- SpaceX said “Starship” 26 times on its Oct 20, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on each of its last 2 calls: 23, 26 times.
- How often does SpaceX say “Starship”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, SpaceX said “Starship” at 3 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Aug 4, 2026 (100%), most recently on Oct 20, 2026.
- What is the probability SpaceX says “Starship” next time?
- 97%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “SpaceX: ‘Starship’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/SPCX/words/starship (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=spacex&word=starship · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=spacex&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP