Will SpaceX say “Louisiana”?
SpaceX said “Louisiana” 8 times on its Oct 20, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on 1 of its last 2 calls: 0, 8 times. As of Oct 23, 2026, SpaceX did not say “Louisiana” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Sep 10, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 19% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
SpaceX
Louisiana
- Probability
- 19% · n=1
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last calls
- said in 1 of 2
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
8 counted (5 in prepared remarks, 3 in Q&A).
…that, the flight 15 simulation. We've also announced the development of the Louisiana Spaceport. That's going to be an incredible asset to the country and…
…to launch site and tower catch for both stages. I'm also extremely excited about expanding the Starship operations to Louisiana with the second Louisiana purchase.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 10, 2026 | Louisiana |  Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How many times did SpaceX say “Louisiana” on its last earnings call?
- SpaceX said “Louisiana” 8 times on its Oct 20, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on 1 of its last 2 calls: 0, 8 times.
- How often does SpaceX say “Louisiana”?
- As of Oct 23, 2026, SpaceX did not say “Louisiana” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Sep 10, 2026.
- What is the probability SpaceX says “Louisiana” next time?
- 19%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “SpaceX: ‘Louisiana’ mention history”, as of Oct 23, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/SPCX/words/louisiana (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=spacex&word=louisiana · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=spacex&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP