Zohran Mamdani: Interview, Jul 6, 2026
Kalshi listed 12 words for Zohran Mamdani’s interview on Jul 6, 2026; 4 settled Yes. The transcript is searchable below (quotes of at most 25 words).
UpdatedMarkets
12 words · 4 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Five Borough | Yes | 77%n=43 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Yes | 51%n=92 from settlement history | – |
| Trump / President | Yes | 40%n=80 from settlement history | – |
| World Cup | Yes | 20%n=21 from settlement history | – |
| Budget / Deficit | No | 44%n=51 from settlement history | – |
| ICE | No | 41%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Election | No | 32%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Economy / Economic | No | 27%n=88 from settlement history | – |
| Socialism / Socialist | No | 27%n=24 from settlement history | – |
| NYPD | No | 26%n=91 from settlement history | – |
| Muslim / Islam | No | 19%n=21 from settlement history | – |
| Billionaire | No | 6%n=51 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsOfficial transcript · Office of the Mayor of the City of New York (nyc.gov) · Source · Quotes of at most 25 words; the full text is at the source.
None of the listed words was said under the market rules.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/zohran-mamdani:2026-07-06:interview-9e06e2 · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=zohran-mamdani:2026-07-06:interview-9e06e2 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP