Zohran Mamdani: Press conference, Jan 24, 2026
Kalshi listed 16 words for Zohran Mamdani’s press conference on Jan 24, 2026; 7 settled Yes. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
UpdatedMarkets
16 words · 7 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home / Housing | Yes | 76%n=17 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Yes | 57%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Safe / Safer / Safety | Yes | 51%n=15 from settlement history | – |
| Ethnic | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Hochul / Governor | Yes | 31%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Economy / Economic | Yes | 24%n=24 from settlement history | – |
| Immigrant / Immigration | Yes | 21%n=18 from settlement history | – |
| Race / Racist / Racism | No | 39%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| New Era | No | 35%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Advisory | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Plow / Plowing | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Remote | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Snow Day | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| NYPD | No | 29%n=24 from settlement history | – |
| Crisis | No | 25%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| Blizzard | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsOfficial transcript · Office of the Mayor of the City of New York (nyc.gov) · Source · Quotes of at most 25 words; the full text is at the source.
Where the listed words were said
…looking into every camera I can find to say, New Yorkers stay home. These are the New Yorkers who are going out. They are rushing…
…FDNY and EMS personnel are on site. They are managing fire suppression, safety operations, and building conditions. I am grateful to them and to every…
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/zohran-mamdani:2026-01-24:presser-21c90b · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=zohran-mamdani:2026-01-24:presser-21c90b · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP