What is the probability Zohran Mamdani says “Inequality” next time?

20%, from settlement history (n=7). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.

Who has to say it for the market to count?

Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Will Zohran Mamdani say “Inequality”?

Name: Zohran Mamdani: “Inequality” mention history
Creator: parrot.markets
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

As of Oct 24, 2026, Zohran Mamdani did not say “Inequality” at any of the 7 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Oct 27, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 20% (n=7, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Oct 6, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.

20%from settlement history only · n=7counts: named speaker only

Last 10: 0/7Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no no
Streak: not said the last 7 times
Counts: named speaker only

Updated Oct 24, 2026, 10:12 UTC

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Zohran Mamdani

Inequality

Probability: 20% · n=7
Settled: 0/7 (0%)
Last 8 remarks: said in 1 of 8

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Zohran MamdanispeakerMayor Mamdani Announces New NYU Quantum Fabrication Facility, First-of-Its-Kind Partnership To Give City a Stake in Emerging Industry · Oct 14, 2026In transcript

…Cathleen Synge Morawetz proved what would become known as the first Morowitz inequality, fundamentally reshaping the modern understanding of how waves began. And in 2007,…