Will Zohran Mamdani say “Venezuela / Maduro”?
As of Oct 27, 2026, Zohran Mamdani did not say “Venezuela / Maduro” at any of the 8 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jan 5, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 21% (n=8, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Oct 6, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 0/8Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 8 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Zohran Mamdani
Venezuela / Maduro
- Probability
- 21% · n=8
- Settled
- 0/8 (0%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 8 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2026 | Venezuela / Maduro |  Polymarket | No | – |
| Jan 9, 2026 | Maduro / Venezuela |  Kalshi | No | – |
| Jan 9, 2026 | Maduro / Venezuela | Kalshi | No | – |
| Jan 8, 2026 | Maduro / Venezuela | Kalshi | No | – |
| Jan 8, 2026 | Maduro / Venezuela | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Jan 6, 2026 | Maduro / Venezuela | Kalshi | No | – |
| Jan 6, 2026 | Maduro / Venezuela | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Jan 5, 2026 | Maduro / Venezuela | Kalshi | No | 0 |
Questions
- How often does Zohran Mamdani say “Venezuela / Maduro”?
- As of Oct 27, 2026, Zohran Mamdani did not say “Venezuela / Maduro” at any of the 8 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jan 5, 2026.
- What is the probability Zohran Mamdani says “Venezuela / Maduro” next time?
- 21%, from settlement history (n=8). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Zohran Mamdani: ‘Venezuela / Maduro’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/zohran-mamdani/words/maduro-or-venezuela (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=zohran-mamdani&word=maduro%20%2F%20venezuela · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=zohran-mamdani&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP