Zohran Mamdani: Remarks, Jan 2, 2026
Kalshi listed 16 words for Zohran Mamdani’s remarks on Jan 2, 2026; 9 settled Yes. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
UpdatedMarkets
16 words · 9 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trump | Yes | 62%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Immigrant / Immigration | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Eric / Adams | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Socialism / Socialist | Yes | 48%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| ICE / National Guard | Yes | 47%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Affordable / Affordability | Yes | 44%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Billionaire | Yes | 39%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Bernie / Sanders | Yes | 29%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Kathy / Hochul | Yes | 23%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Grocery | No | 72%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| NYPD | No | 58%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Queens | No | 52%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Inflation | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Rat | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Fascism / Fascist | No | 31%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Economy | No | 27%n=3 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsOfficial transcript · Office of the Mayor of the City of New York (nyc.gov) · Source · Quotes of at most 25 words; the full text is at the source.
Where the listed words were said
…2008 stayed with me, through organizing with the New York City Democratic Socialists of America, and later serving in government as chief of staff to…
…any ethnic group in this city. When we are talking about the affordability crisis, it is hitting Latino New Yorkers at a disproportionate rate, and…
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/zohran-mamdani:2026-01-02:remarks-4fa188 · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=zohran-mamdani:2026-01-02:remarks-4fa188 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP