Will Zohran Mamdani say “Fascism / Fascist”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Zohran Mamdani did not say “Fascism / Fascist” at any of the 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Sep 6, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 32% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 2 speeches we have transcripts for (Apr 12, 2026 – Jun 4, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 0/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 3 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Zohran Mamdani
Fascism / Fascist
- Probability
- 32% · n=3
- Settled
- 0/3 (0%)
- Last 2 speeches
- said in 0 of 2
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2026 | Fascism / Fascist |  Kalshi | No |
| Nov 4, 2025 | Fascism / Fascist |  Polymarket | No |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Fascism / Fascist | Polymarket | No |
Questions
- How often does Zohran Mamdani say “Fascism / Fascist”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Zohran Mamdani did not say “Fascism / Fascist” at any of the 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Sep 6, 2025.
- What is the probability Zohran Mamdani says “Fascism / Fascist” next time?
- 32%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Zohran Mamdani: ‘Fascism / Fascist’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/zohran-mamdani/words/fascism-or-fascist (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=zohran-mamdani&word=fascism%20%2F%20fascist · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=zohran-mamdani&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP